Threat Analysis: Four Keys

Probable Cause:

Identify facts and circumstances that would lead a reasonable person to believe that an individual is committing or is attempting to commit a criminal offense (poses a threat to self and/ or others).

1.  Threats due to Psychotic Delusions (fixed, false, idiosyncratic);

Examples:

“My neighbor is a space alien and is trying to kill me”

“Satan has instructed me to kill them.”

Commonly seen in: Schizophrenia, Bipolar Disorder with psychosis, Depression with psychosis, Drug-induced psychosis

Treatment: Secure weapons with law enforcement, antipsychotic medications, emergency civil commitment to a mental health facility, case management


2.  Threats due to Extreme Overvalued Beliefs.

Look for warning behaviors.

Examples:

“I am going to be a professional school shooter.”

“The West is at war with Islam.”

“Black people are replacing White people.”

Intervention: Secure weapons with law enforcement, Treat co-occurring problems (e.g. mood, anxiety, drug use), crisis response team, unique personalized behavioral management (e.g. family, group and individual therapy), culturally appropriate case management, develop a new identity outside of overvalued beliefs.

See: parents for peace


3.  Threats due to Obsessions (intrusive, unwanted thoughts). Usually pose a low risk of harm to others.

“I can’t stop thinking that I might hurt someone.”

Treatment: OCD medication, talk therapy, OCD foundation


4.  Threats due to addictive/ behavioral issues, alcohol/ drugs, paraphilias, domestic violence, stalking or personality disorders (e.g. psychopathy).

Treatment: Secure weapons with law enforcement, drug rehabilitation centers, medication assisted treatment, sometimes family, individual and group therapy, crisis response team, sometimes jail or prison is the only answer


Learn More: 

Through the Lens: American Presidential Assassins 

The Big Ideas: Learn how the internet tricks our brains 

Coming September 2024